Agents & MLS

The Agent You Hire Right Now Matters More Than Usual

NAR's 2026 data shows a thinned-out, battle-tested agent pool — and for sellers, who's holding your listing is a direct pricing and timeline variable.

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The typical Realtor working today has 13 years of experience, closed nine transaction sides in 2025, and operates in a market where housing affordability is the single biggest reason buyers walk away — cited by 27% of agents as the top constraint on completed purchases. Those are the headline numbers from the National Association of Realtors' 2026 Member Profile, released June 25, 2026, and they carry real consequences for sellers deciding who to trust with their listing.

A Leaner, More Seasoned Industry Is Now Running the Show

NAR membership currently sits at 1,438,569 — a large number, but the composition has shifted. Agents with two years or less in the business account for 15% of members, while nearly a quarter (23%) have 26 or more years of experience. The market's brutal conditions since 2022 have essentially acted as a filter, pushing out agents who couldn't survive suppressed transaction volume. Existing-home sales are running just above 4 million units annually, a pace not seen since 1995.

The income gap tells the same story. Agents with 16 or more years of experience earned a median gross income of $88,500 in 2025. Those with two years or less earned $8,000. That's not a rounding difference — it reflects an entirely different client base, referral network, and ability to negotiate through a slow market. Mid-career agents, those with six to fifteen years in the field, reported individual sales volume of $3.3 million, compared to $330,000 for newcomers.

One structural shift worth noting: for the first time, NAR broke out individual versus team production separately. Agents working as part of a formal team — 21% of members — closed a median of 32 transaction sides, compared to nine for solo agents. Team-based brokerage specialists posted median sales volume of $17.5 million versus $2.7 million individually. If you're interviewing agents, asking whether they operate within a team structure is now a meaningful due-diligence question.

Affordability at 27% Means the Buyer Pool Is Smaller and Pickier

When agents were asked to name the most important factor keeping potential buyers from closing, affordability came in at 27% — more than double the share who cited lack of inventory (12%) or difficulty finding the right home (11%). That ranking matters to sellers because it shapes who is actually capable of making an offer on your property right now.

NAR deputy chief economist Jessica Lautz described the current market as sharply divided between repeat buyers who carry existing equity and can transact with relative ease, and first-time buyers who are still trying to save a down payment. For sellers, this is a direct pricing signal: your realistic buyer pool in most price ranges skews heavily toward move-up purchasers who already own. They're discerning, they've been through a transaction before, and they will not overpay for a home that needs work or is priced above comparable sales.

Experienced agents understand this divide intuitively. Repeat and referral business now accounts for a median 28% of a typical agent's transactions — up from 20% the prior year — and for agents with 16 or more years in the profession, that figure climbs to 49%. The most seasoned agents in the market are almost entirely running on a client base that already transacted with them. That network gives them advance knowledge of who is ready to buy, at what price, and on what timeline.

What This Means for Pricing Strategy, Timeline, and Your Net

The data shapes three practical decisions sellers face right now.

Pricing discipline is non-negotiable. With affordability the dominant buyer constraint, there is almost no margin for an aspirational list price. Buyers in 2026 are pre-qualified at rates that cap what they can realistically offer. An agent who tells you to list high and reduce later is asking you to burn market days — the most damaging outcome in a slow-velocity environment. The right price on day one is more valuable than ever.

Timeline expectations need resetting. The overall sales pace of just over 4 million existing homes annually means your home will spend more time on the market than it would have in 2021 or 2022. That's not a failure — it's the baseline. A veteran agent will set that expectation clearly and design a showing and negotiation strategy around it rather than treating it as a surprise at week four.

Agent selection directly affects your net proceeds. The gap between a two-year agent and a sixteen-year agent isn't just about comfort or confidence — it's measurable in transaction volume data. An agent managing a $330,000 annual book of business has a fundamentally different skill set than one managing $3.3 million. In a market where affordability constraints mean buyers will push hard on concessions, inspection credits, and closing cost coverage, the agent across the table from that buyer's representative matters to your bottom line.

Business expenses for agents also rose in 2025, reaching a median of $9,530, up from $8,010 the prior year. That increase isn't abstract — agents absorbing higher costs while transaction volume stays suppressed are running leaner operations. For sellers, this is one more reason to ask hard questions about what marketing investment your listing will actually receive.

If you want a baseline number before you commit to a list price or an agent conversation, Local Home Buyers USA's instant-offer tool gives you a data-anchored starting point — no obligation, no pressure, just a number to anchor your thinking.

Sources and methodology

This briefing is based on reporting from 1 outlet; the story was first reported June 25, 2026.

Written with AI-assisted drafting from the sources listed and reviewed under our editorial standards. Found an error? See our corrections policy. The photo is illustrative and does not show a property named in this story unless the caption says so.

Local Home Buyers USA buys homes directly from sellers. This coverage is editorial analysis, not legal, tax or financial advice.

Justin Erickson, Founder & CEO

Justin Erickson is the Founder and Chief Executive of Local Home Buyers USA, where he built the company from a single-market operation into a nationwide direct-purchase platform in under two years. A self-taught full-stack engineer based…

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Local Home Buyers USA is a direct buyer of residential real estate, not a licensed broker. Seller Intelligence is editorial commentary based on named sources and public data; it is not legal, tax or financial advice. Editorial standards.